Redefining Economic Growth: Policy Priorities for Vietnam's Next Development Breakthrough
Setting a very ambitious economic growth target for the coming period carries significant implications for both strategic orientation and development thinking. It sends a strong policy signal that Vietnam is proactively shifting from a mindset that focuses on sustaining the current growth momentum to one aimed at creating breakthroughs in development.
Dr. Phạm Anh Tuấn, Deputy Director of the Institute of Vietnam and World Economy (IVAWE), shared these views in an interview with the Vietnam News Agency.
Setting a very ambitious economic growth target for the coming period
carries significant implications for both strategic orientation and development
thinking. It sends a strong policy signal that Vietnam is proactively shifting
from a mindset that focuses on sustaining the current growth momentum to one
aimed at creating breakthroughs in development.
In terms of timing, Vietnam's economy is currently at a critical turning
point. After many years of relatively robust growth, the existing development
model has begun to reveal its structural limitations. Growth drivers based on
capital accumulation, low-cost labor, natural resource exploitation, and the
extensive expansion of production capacity made substantial contributions
during the previous stage of development, but they are unlikely to remain the
primary foundation for the country's next phase of growth. Without a transition
toward productivity-driven growth supported by innovation, technological
advancement, and stronger institutional quality, Vietnam's economic growth is
likely to slow, making it increasingly difficult to achieve a significant leap
in its level of development.
In the context of the upcoming 14th National Congress of the Communist
Party of Vietnam, setting a high growth target also serves as a framework for redesigning
policy priorities. Once an ambitious target is established, the entire
policy-making and governance system must address more fundamental questions:
What should be the primary drivers of growth? How should the quality of growth
be measured? Which resources need to be reallocated? What reforms must be
implemented without delay? In this sense, an ambitious growth target not only
creates pressure for more effective macroeconomic management but also generates
momentum for comprehensive institutional and structural reforms.
Among the "Four Core Principles" for achieving high economic
growth, the principles of "genuine growth" and "maintaining
steadfast macroeconomic stability" are given the highest priority.
Although balancing these two objectives is highly challenging, they are not
inherently incompatible. The key lies in transforming the sources of economic
growth. If growth is driven primarily by rapid credit expansion, indiscriminate
increases in public investment, asset speculation, or the excessive
exploitation of traditional production factors, it is often accompanied by
heightened macroeconomic instability. However, if growth is generated through
higher productivity, more efficient resource allocation, and the upgrading of
the economic structure, it is entirely possible to achieve faster growth while
preserving macroeconomic stability and maintaining the country's major economic
balances.
One of the key highlights discussed was the development of a Resolution
on a science-, technology-, and digital transformation-driven development
model. This Resolution is expected to provide a clearer framework for the
growth logic of Vietnam’s next stage of development. In an economy where the
scope for extensive growth is becoming increasingly limited, the most important
source of momentum must come from using existing resources more efficiently.
Science, technology, and digital transformation play a pivotal role in this
regard, as they simultaneously reshape production methods, governance structures,
market connectivity, and the quality of decision-making.
To ensure that the benefits of "double-digit growth" are
distributed fairly and translated into meaningful improvements in people's
lives, relevant ministries and sectors need to establish a policy coordination
mechanism that is cross-sectoral, regionally integrated, and people-centered.
This requires moving beyond siloed policymaking toward an integrated approach
in which the distributive, regional, and social impacts of economic policies
are considered from the very beginning of the policy design process. At the
same time, local authorities and businesses should broaden the way they assess
development outcomes, shifting from measuring growth solely in quantitative
terms to evaluating the quality and inclusiveness of growth. Only then can high
economic growth truly serve as a sustainable foundation for improving people's
living standards.
Source: Vietnam News Agency